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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan: Second Edition

The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

Buch

The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.… Mehr

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Produktdetails


  • ISBN: 978-0-8129-7381-5
  • EAN: 9780812973815
  • Produktnummer: 5967686
  • Verlag: Random House N.Y.
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Erscheinungsjahr: 2010
  • Seitenangabe: 480 S.
  • Masse: H20.3 cm x B13.1 cm x D2.7 cm 344 g
  • Reihenbandnummer: 02
  • Gewicht: 344

Über den Autor


Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent nearly two decades as a businessman and quantitative trader before becoming a full-time philosophical essayist and academic researcher in 2006. Although he spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is “decision making under opacity”—that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don’t understand.   Taleb’s books have been published in forty-one languages.

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