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Philip E. (Hrsg.) Tetlock

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

Buch

Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them… Mehr

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Produktdetails


Weitere Autoren: Belkin, Aaron (Hrsg.)
  • ISBN: 978-0-691-02791-3
  • EAN: 9780691027913
  • Produktnummer: 1149661
  • Verlag: University Presses
  • Sprache: Englisch
  • Erscheinungsjahr: 1996
  • Seitenangabe: 344 S.
  • Masse: H25.4 cm x B19.7 cm
  • Abbildungen: 8 tables 16 line illus.

Über den Autor


Philip E. Tetlock is Harold E. Burtt Professor of Psychology and Political Science at the Ohio State University. He is coeditor of Psychology and Social Policy and coauthor of Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology. Aaron Belkin is a Ph.D. candidate in political science at the University of California, Berkeley.

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