Demographic Forecasting
A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the best alternatives available. The techniques have wide applicability.--Germn Rodrguez, Princeton UniversityThis book is excellent and important.--Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley
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Produktdetails
Weitere Autoren: King, Gary
- ISBN: 978-0-691-13095-8
- EAN: 9780691130958
- Produktnummer: 3829549
- Verlag: Princeton University Press
- Sprache: Englisch
- Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
- Seitenangabe: 272 S.
- Masse: H20.4 cm x B25.3 cm x D1.8 cm 878 g
- Abbildungen: 47 color illus. 3 line illus. 8 tables.
- Gewicht: 878
- Sonstiges: Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
Über den Autor
Federico Girosi is a senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation. Gary King is the David Florence Professor of Government, and director of the Institute for Quantitative Social Science, at Harvard University.
2 weitere Werke von Federico Girosi:
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